Wizard Daily Report and Research - Thursday, 4 April 2024.
*** Tomorrow *** - Trainer profile for Annabel Neasham
Wizard Ratings Report - Wednesday, April 3
The following table shows the where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'.
| Wed 03.04.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Race 10 | meeting |
| | SOT | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | w m h e |
| ASCOT | g4 | 2 2 2. 1 | - 2 2 1 | 3 - 1 - | - 2 2. - | - 3 3. 3 | - - - 3 | 3 - - - | | | | 0 0 1 2 |
| BALLARAT | s7s6 | 1 1 1 3 | 1 1 2 2 | 2 1 1 1 | 2 1 2 1 | 1 1 2 - | - 1. - 1 | - - - 1. | 3 2 - - | | | 3 6. 2 4. |
| DOOMBEN | s6g4 | 1 1 - - | 2 3 2 - | - 3 - 2 | 1 1 3. - | 1 - - - | - - - 3 | 1 - - 2 | 2 - 1 2 | 2 - - - | - - - - | 4 2 1 0 |
| MURRAY BRIDGE | g4 | 2 3 1 - | 1 2 2 3 | 2 3 1 2. | 3 - 1 2. | 1 3 1 - | 3 - 3 1. | 1 1 3 2. | | | | 3 1 4 1. |
| NEWCASTLE | s5g4 | 3 2 - 1. | - - - - | - - - 3. | 3 2 - - | 3 2 - - | - - - - | 2 1 1 1 | 2 - - - | | | 0 1 1 2. |
The table shows the where the winner of each race was rated by Wrat (w), Wmod (m), Whcp (h), and Wexpk (e) in that order. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'.
For example, a cell entry of 1 2. 3 would read as:
.. 1 .. rated 1st (100 pointer) on Wrat
.. - .. not rated in the top three on Wmod
.. 2. .. rated equal 2nd on Whcp (the full stop after the numeric indicates it was rated equal 2nd)
.. 3 .. rated 3rd on Wexpk
As well as the results for individual races there a summary for each meeting which shows the number of winners for each of the Wizard and Wizard Plus ratings. An entry showing '4 3 0 2.' would be read as follows:
.. 4 .. 4 of the winners were rated 1st on Wrat
.. 3 .. 3 of the winners were rated 1st on Wmod
.. 0 .. no winner was rated 1st on Whcp
.. 2. .. 2 winners were rated 1st on Wexpk but at least one of these was an equal top-rater
With respect to equal-rated runners: This does not happen with Wrat as we have an algorithm that separates runners by adjusting the base ratings by career-record and form-related factors. The same procedure is applied with the Wmod, but not as extensively, and occasionally equal-rated horses could appear, but infrequently.
Where equal-rated runners are more common is in the ratings analysis that is basically pure weight handicapping, the Whcp and Wexpk analyses.
Warren - Wiz-Ed
If you have any comment or suggestions about the Wizard Daily articles please feel free to drop me a line at:
Wiz-Ed@everyrace.com